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dawn sky

BBC 6 Minute English

2014年5月5日 星期一

Harden expected, 黑天鵝與莫非

//==
季後賽(playoff, postseason) 前的調查, 超過七成的專家以及多數的評論都認為
火箭隊(Rocket)能夠擊敗拓荒者隊(Trail Blazer) 晉級第二輪 ...



關鍵第六戰 , 最後0.9秒 球權回到拓荒者隊 ,
Damian Lillard 的壓哨三分球(buzzer-beating three-pointer) 擊沉了火箭升空的夢想 ,
這算是 黑天鵝事件嗎 (Black swan event) ?
應該不算,  Damian Lillard 是NBA菜鳥球季(freshman/rookie season)
三分球紀錄的保持人 ,  2012-2013 NBA球季 投進185個三分球, 此外也是當年的新人王
(rookie of the year), 得分超過1500分, 助攻超過500次 ...
不過這有點 事後諸葛/馬後炮 (hindsight, knew-it-all-along), 畢竟沒人?會料到最後的0.9秒
初入NBA第二個球季(sophomore)的新人能夠像大嘴Reggie Miller 執行絕殺!

也許火箭教頭Kevin McHale有想到要防範這個最糟的情況(the worst case) , 才會讓身高206cm的前鋒 Chandler Parsons  去防守 191cm 的後衛  Damian Lillard , 如此說來, 這算是莫非定律(Murphy's Law)嗎?

也許火箭升空受阻 要歸咎到第一戰與第二戰 James Harden 失常? 或者該說 Harden在季後賽的正常表現 一如之前在雷霆隊時的季後賽 --  as unstable as expected ? 其實Harden的得分還是不少, 今年季後賽最低17分, 最高37分, 但命中率/穩定性/得分與持球時間比 ...

So, Rocket needs hardening as Harden does.


*** SSL needs hardening as well, see the warning about the insecure implementation of SSL on some versions of PHP.


http://forwardcenter.net/playoff-predictions-few-pick-portland-to-advance/

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2031424-houston-rockets-playoff-schedule-2014-tv-info-and-predictions-for-first-round

http://probasketballtalk.nbcsports.com/2014/05/03/damian-lillards-buzzer-beating-3-pointer-gives-trail-blazers-their-first-playoff-series-win-in-14-years-video/

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Damian_Lillard

http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/h/hardeja01/gamelog/2014/

//==
Something should not happened did happen
something unexpected did happen
something unexpected will still happen indeed

After something unexpected had happened :
something should occur occurred
something expected occurred
something expected will still occur sometime, timely or not

It is kind of accepting, adapting, self-cheating or hardening?

//===
機關算盡
善惡分明
龍飛鳳舞
雪泥鴻爪





2013年8月14日 星期三

tap, tape, taper

[ex]
The tape seems never taper off after winding it on the tap for tens of rounds.


//=== tap
 n. 水龍頭 (tap water 就是 自來水)
 v. 輕拍,輕碰 (輕壓平板電腦的螢幕 to tap the screen of the tablet)

Tap, Double Tap, and Press and Hold on a tablet to turn it off.



//=== tape 
n. 膠帶, 錄音帶, 
casette tape recorder 卡帶錄音機

//=== taper
taper 的起源是指 蠟燭 (wax candle) , 蠟燭燃燒漸漸失去光亮 到最後完全變暗;
taper 後來就用來指 逐步消減, 常與副詞 off 連在一起用.

生命的過程大致與蠟燭類似吧, 
It seemed all of a sudden to the public that 
the famous doctor and toxicologist died a few days ago. 
In fact, he got chronical kidney disease and 
kept fighting for decades but finally tapered off. 
However, he did light and enlighten many others' life. 

逐步戒除抗焦慮/抗憂鬱藥物
 to taper off anti-anxiety and anti-depressant drugs

颱風正逐步遠離
 The storm is beginning to taper off. 

"平均來講" 質數間的間隔是越來越大 或者說越來越稀疏 (taper off)
... mathematicians have understood how the primes taper off "on average": Among large numbers, the "expected gap" between prime numbers is approximately 2.3 times the number of digits; so, for example, among 100-digit numbers, the expected gap between primes is about 230 ... 



[ref]
http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/taper 
http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/tap
https://www.simonsfoundation.org/features/science-news/unheralded-mathematician-bridges-the-prime-gap/

2013年7月27日 星期六

rabies -- 狂犬病的英文

狂犬病的英文, 直接從字面上來翻就是 mad dog disease.
上網搜尋發現 rabies /r 'e: bi:z/ 這個單字
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rabies
應該與 rabbit /r 'ae bit/ 無關

狂犬病發生在動物身上叫 rabies,
發生在人身上則叫 hydrophobia (恐水症)
? http://zoonosesonline.org/rabies.html

//=== prophylaxis /pr.f.l 'ae ksis/ 預防性措施/處置/注射/投藥 http://www.thefreedictionary.com/prophylaxis

狂犬病是病毒引發的疾病 而且是人畜共通(zoonotic),
病毒侵入後 經過一段時間的潛伏期 incubation period (數天~數年?),
一旦病毒侵入中樞神經系統(central nervous system) 開始發病後
致死率幾乎是百分百 (that's why it's called a fatal disease).

所以 一旦遭遇動物咬襲 或是 傷口沾染帶有病毒的唾液,
就必須立即進行 post-exposure prophylaxis 疫苗(vaccine)注射
而第一線醫護人員也應定期接種疫苗 (pre-exposure?) prophylaxis

[ref]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rabies
http://zoonosesonline.org/rabies.html
http://uk.answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20100827055318AALFqrw
http://www.thefreedictionary.com/prophylaxis


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